Doncaster Stakes betting tips: Breath Of Air the value bet

The 2018 Doncaster Stakes tips given by Horsebetting.com experts say impressive last time out winner Breath Of Air is worth a bet to follow-up in the Listed 6f contest at Town Moor on on Saturday, 27 October. Market leader San Donato has a progressive profile, so rates the main danger. Heartwarming, meanwhile, caught the eye last time out and looks the each-way value in the juvenile contest that gets proceedings underway on Futurity Trophy day. For full details on these horses’ chances, read our in-depth 2018 Doncaster Stakes betting tips preview.

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Odds
5/1
Selection
Breath Of Air
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Odds
11/4
Danger
San Donato
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Odds
9/1
E/W
Heartwarming
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Breath Of Air the one to be on in Doncaster Stakes

Breath Of Air created a huge impression when scoring last time out, so look decent value to take the step up into Listed company in his stride and land the spoils in the 6f Doncaster Stakes that gets proceedings underway on Futurity Trophy day at Doncaster on Saturday (13:45). This Charlie Hills trained juvenile shaped with stacks of promise on debut at Salisbury, despite coming home eighth of 10 behind Flashcard and beaten six lengths.

He lost ground when going right as the gates opened and took a keen hold at the rear of the field. When the penny finally did drop, he started to keep on nicely approaching the final furlong until encountering trouble in-running. His rider then accepted the situation and let Breath Of Air come home in his own time.

It was an effort which suggested there was much better to come from the son of top class sprinter Bated Breath, and that view was confirmed when he destroyed the opposition in a 12-runner maiden at Newbury last month. Breath Of Air was far more streetwise on this occasion, bouncing out of the gates to make all and win unchallenged by 3 3/4 lengths from Mohaather.

The way in which he stretched clear inside the final furlong without being asked any serious sort of question was visually impressive, while the runner-up has also come out and won since to give the form a boost. It was a performance which suggested Breath Of Air was potentially very smart and had a big future ahead of him.

This obviously demands more, but the fact that he has proven form on the ground is a big plus and the booking of Donnacha O’Brien to do the steering is an eye-catching one. So, with the prospect of plenty more improvement to come looking assured, Breath Of Air looks decent value to land this en route to even better things. Thus he features as the main selection in our 2018 Doncaster Stakes betting tips.

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San Donato a major player

San Donato heads the betting and has a progressive profile. This colt has won his last two starts and hails from the in-form yard of Roger Varian, who is operating at a strike rate of just under 26 per cent in the last 14 days at the time of writing. He therefore rates the main danger to Breath Of Air.

After shaping quite nicely in his first two outings, the son of Lope De Vega showed a good attitude to gamely hold on and beat Hello Youmzain by a short-head in a 12-runner novice stakes contest at Haydock. The runner-up has since come out and landed a Group 2 in France, while the third home Wise Counsel also won next time up.

That gives the form a solid look and San Donato has since gone on to bolt up in a similar grade affair on the all-weather at Kempton. After racing in mid-division, he made smooth headway two from home under a confident Andrea Atzeni. When eased out to challenge the the furlong marker, San Donato showed a smart turn of foot to burst clear and beat Converter by 4 1/2 lengths.

Although what the form of that race amounts to is questionable, San Donato could not have been more impressive in getting the job done. He is clearly going the right way and looks well worth another crack at this level, having previously finished eighth of 11 to Arthur Kitt in the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot on his second outing.

A bold bid to land the hat-trick looks assured, but San Donato looks plenty short enough in the betting now switched back to the turf. For that reason, we are keen to oppose and take him on with the totally unexposed Breath Of Air.

Heartwarming odds appeal each-way

Barbill is officially the top rated in the line-up, so commands plenty of respect now dropped in grade following a fine third in a Group 3 at Newmarket won by Sergei Prokofiev earlier in the month. However, Heartwarming was a big eye-catcher in-behind; so, at the odds on offer, looks the better each-way value of the pair.

The Clive Cox trained daughter of Showcasing dwelt at the start, but soon made up the lost ground to race in touch. She then began to make some progress a furlong from home before encountering massive traffic problems. Jockey Frankie Dettori then accepted the situation and eased her down to eventually finish a 9 1/2 lengths 11th of 14.

Heartwarming shaped much better than the bare result suggests and is entitled to come on for the outing as it was her first following a 56-day break. Prior to that she had won once and finished runner-up twice, showing improve for in each start.

After landing a seven-runner maiden in good style, Heartwarming ran really well when a three-length second of 14 to Shumookhi in the Listed 5f St Hugh’s Stakes a at Newbury. Although no match for the easy winner, she stuck to the task well and had some fair sort in behind.

Judged on that she should be well-suited by the extra furlong of this. The fact that Heartwarming has proven form in the grade is another plus, so she looks a big price and therefore had to feature as the each-way selection in our 2018 Doncaster Stakes betting tips.

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