Elite Hurdle betting tips: We Have A Dream the Wincanton wager

Horsebetting.com give 2018 Elite Hurdle betting tips for the 1m 7f Grade 2 contest at Wincanton on Saturday, 10 November. We Have A Dream is a hugely exciting prospect and unbeaten for trainer Nicky Henderson, so is readily taken to land the spoils. Stable companion Verdana Blue is feared most on ground she relishes. John Constable, meanwhile, may be worth chancing each-way as he also acts on the going and has an eye-catching jockey booking. Read all about a competitive and intriguing renewal in our 2018 Elite Hurdle betting tips preview.

Betfair logo
Odds
11/4
Selection
We Have A Dream
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Unibet logo
Odds
11/4
Danger
Verdana Blue
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Betfred logo
Odds
33/1
E/W
John Constable
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We Have A Dream can step up into hurdles Elite

Champion trainer Nicky Henderson is double-handed in his decade long wait for another winner of the Elite Hurdle at Wincanton, which now holds Grade 2 status. Clear preference of his pair engaged in this year’s renewal on Saturday (15:00) is We Have A Dream, who on official figures has 6lb and upwards on the field, so he’s taken to land the spoils despite a 3lb penalty.

Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede, the four-year-old is unbeaten in five starts since joining Seven Barrows handler Henderson – making all and bolting up by 10 lengths at Warwick on his debut for the yard exactly 12 months ago. Connections pitched We Have A Dream straight in at this level off the back of that catching bow and he again went from the front to score by a similar margin in the Summit Juvenile Hurdle at Doncaster.

Bad weather over Christmas delayed his next intended target, but Chepstow quickly rearranged the Grade 1 Future Champions Finale and he landed the hat-trick in January. We Have A Dream tracked the leaders this time under regular rider Daryl Jacob, was produced to hit the front approaching the last and only had to be ridden out for a cosy 1 1/2 lengths win over Sussex Ranger.

A drop in grade to Listed level followed where he again made all and found plenty for pressure drawing clear from the last in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trial at Musselburgh. Despite giving weight all-round, We Have A Dream was a comfortable 4 1/2 lengths winner over the ill-fated Act Of Valour.

He then doubled his Grade 1 tally at the Aintree Grand National meeting when smashing Gumball by seven lengths in the Anniversary Juvenile Hurdle. Those exploits have earned We Have A Dream an official rating of 156 and leaves the impression there are plenty more races to be won with him this season.

This is a first try in open company and against his elders, but he appeals as the type to make further progress for a yard going well. As the top rated horse in the line-up, We Have A Dream had to be the main bet of our 2018 Elite Hurdle betting tips.

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Verdana Blue feared most

Henderson’s other hand to play in this is recent Listed winner Verdana Blue, whose 7lb sex allowance is only partially offset by that victory. She is thus feared most getting weight from all but one rival on a surface that her handler admits is the key to her.

The six-year-old mare has won four of her 11 hurdles starts since joining the stable and, after landing two outings as a novice, was sent handicapping last term. Verdana Blue bought placed form at Cheltenham to the table, but could only triumph in a class 2 handicap at Ascot.

That does not tell the full story, however, as she raced on difficult going when 10th in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury and didn’t act in the conditions. Running in the mud took its total on Verdana Blue as she was later an out of sorts 11th in the Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr.

Connections were clever to give her a spin on the all-weather at Chelmsford back in September to bring on her fitness, and had their reward when she won in decisive fashion at Kempton last month. Verdana Blue was the only one not being ridden when taking things up two out and ran out a seven lengths winner over Old Guard, but value for much more than the winning margin.

This obviously demands more, but she has nothing to fear from the re-opposing third Smaoineamh Alainn despite that one being 4lb better off at the weights. A bold bid to follow-up looks assured and the assessor only raising Verdana Blue’s rating by 3lb for the win may underestimate her.

John Constable each-way value

Seven-year-olds have won five of the last dozen renewals, so now returned to pattern company and back down to his last winning mark it may be worth chancing John Constable each-way if treated on the pick of his form. Trained by Evan Williams, you get the sense that connections felt obliged to run him out of his ground last season having landed back-to-back handicaps in the summer of 2017.

After bolting up by 14 lengths in the Grade 3 Swinton at Haydock, John Constable followed-up under top weight in Market Rasen’s Summer Handicap Hurdle to earn an official rating of 156. Although then sixth of seven at this level in the International Hurdle at Cheltenham in December, John Constable was only beaten 4 1/4 lengths and was then just 1 3/4 lengths behind dual Champion Hurdle hero Buveur D’Air in a Sandown conditions race.

While then well-beaten in the big one at the Cheltenham Festival, the ground was heavy and totally against him. John Constable was then sent back handicapping in a bid to win back-to-back Swintons and was far from disgraced when seventh and giving weight all-round to Silver Streak.

The winner has since come out and landed the Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las. Connections then decided to go chasing with John Constable, but have scratched those plans after he didn’t shape well over the obstacles. When switched back to hurdles in another Listed handicap at Market Rasen last time out, he never really got going.

Champion jockey Richard Johnson now takes the ride for the first time and that looks significant as he’s on a 25 per cent strike rate in the last fortnight at the time of writing. In a competitive renewal where a case can be made for many hitting the frame, John Constable could be a bit of each-way value and is included among our 2018 Elite Hurdle betting tips as a result.

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