Saturday, 29th Sep 2018
Horsebetting.com provide their Naas betting tips for September 30. Mount Everest rates the NAP of this eight-race card in the feature Group 2 Beresford Stakes over 1m. Twilight Payment, meanwhile, looks value to confirm Irish St Leger form in the Group 3 Loughbrown Stakes earlier in the day. Foxtrot Liv appeals each-way in the Group 3 Weld Park Stakes for juvenile fillies. There’s further details of our fancies in this preview of our Naas betting tips for September 30.Mount Everest the Beresford bet for O’Brien at NaasAidan O’Brien has trained 17 winners of the Beresford Stakes, including each of the last seven renewals. He saddles three in a bid to enhance that sublime record further in the feature Group 2 juvenile contest at Naas over 1m on Sunday (17:05), and the pick of that trio looks to be Mount Everest.
This son of Galileo has had just three previous career outings, but is all the rage for this after landing a Curragh maiden over the trip last time out. Mount Everest engaged in a tussle with Yonkers and was briefly joined in front entering the final furlong, but then regained the outright lead to assert close home and score by 1 1/4 lengths.
He clearly stays well which is essential at this venue and brings a progressive profile into first start in group company. This obviously demands more, but stable jockey Ryan Moore is back on board Mount Everest and had the choice of stablemates Japan and Sovereign.
The market has already spoken heavily in favour of Mount Everest with most of his rivals in the seven-runner field available at big prices. A big run is expected from him; so, at odds against, he rates the best bet on the card among our Naas betting tips for September 30.Twilight Payment can resume winning ways in LoughbrownIn the Group 3 Loughbrown Stakes over 2m earlier on the card (14:55), Twilight Payment looks great value to defy top-weight and maintain his high consistency in staying events by resuming winning way. The Godolphin owned five-year-old gelding is trained by Jim Bolger and simply doesn’t know how to run a bad race.
Twilight Payment is by Teofilio out of an Oasis Dream mare and eased significantly in grade for this after contesting the Irish St Leger last time out. He was far from disgraced in the final Classic of the season when beaten 4 3/4 lengths in fourth behind Flag Of Honour and actually put up a couple of pounds by the assessor to an official rating of 109.
As Twilight Payment had to give the winner 8lb, 3lb worse terms than when chasing him home and denied just a neck in the Group 3 Leger Trial also at The Curragh on their penultimate start, it was a cracking effort. Such form sets a clear standard in the contest of this similar grade affair as he also previously placed third behind Flag Of Honour in the Group 2 Curragh Cup.
That’s because Twilight Payment came out and won a Listed affair at Down Royal in-between those group assignments en route to the Irish Leger. Although these outings were all over 1m 6f, he is a thorough stayer that has a two-mile victory on his CV as he won this when it was run at The Curragh in 2016.
While that means Twilight Payment has to give 10lb away to the three-year-olds, there are clear question marks against some of them. This swing in weight may not be enough for Cypress Creek to turn the tables on his poor showing in the Irish Leger, so the only real danger looks the unproven Falcon Eight.Foxtrot Liv an each-way punt for Weld ParkJuvenile fillies also get their chance to strut their stuff in the Group 3 Weld Park Stakes over 7f (14:20), and Foxtrot Liv looks a solid each-way bet following her last two efforts. Trained by Paddy Twomey, she is by top Australian sprinter Foxwedge and a Motivator mare.
After being a four-length fourth over 6f at this venue on debut, she was then just touched off by a nose when headed in the final strides at The Curragh. Foxtrot Liv came good at third time of asking when stepped up a furlong and staying on strongly to break her maiden tag by an easy six lengths.
She was then desperately unlucky last time out when beaten a nose in a Listed affair at Leopardstown. After chasing the leaders in the hands of regular jockey Billy Lee, Foxtrot Liv improved to challenge in between the last two and then strongly pressed the leader inside the final furlong to go down fighting by just a head.
The nature of that narrow defeat suggests she is well worth a crack at this level. With a win and place ratio of 75 per cent, and off an official mark of 103, Foxtrot Liv has solid claims of at least making the frame here and thus completes our Naas betting tips for September 30.Your Next Bet