Thursday, 16th Aug 2018
Irish raider Lethal Promise has some strong form to her name, so heads Horsebetting.com tips for the St Hugh’s Stakes at Newbury on Friday, 17 August July. Heartwarming is feared most in the Listed contest for juvenile fillies over the flying 5f. Scintilating odds appeal each-way. For full details on all these horses’ chances, read our in-depth 2018 St Hugh’s Stakes betting tips preview.Lethal Promise has a super chance in St Hugh’s StakesLethal Promise has a progressive profile and some strong form to her name, so looks worth a wager to land the feature race at Newbury on Friday, the Listed 5f St Hugh’s Stakes (15:30). This filly is trained in Ireland by Willie Mcreery, whose runners in this country are few and far between.
That makes the daughter of Invincible Spirit command the utmost respect, especially as she has shown improved form in each of her four outings. After finishing runner up on the first two occasions, shaping with plenty of promise in the process, she opened her account in facile fashion when scoring by 6 1/2 lengths over 5f at Naas.
Connections decided to pitch Lethal Promise into Group 3 company on the back of that romp and she ran well in defeat when a four-length fourth of seven to So Perfect in the Grangecon Stud Stakes over 6f at The Curragh. She travelled smoothly to halfway in fourth and, after being driven to challenge two from home, weakened out of contention late on.
The winner has gone on to be beaten just half-a-length by Advertise in the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes, whilst the runner-up Skitter Scatter captured a Group 3 at Leopardstown next time up. Vallambrosa – who finished fifth – has also gone on to taste success, so that gives the form a rock solid look in relation to this lower grade affair and sets the standard.
So, with the drop back to the minimum trip expected to suit, and the prospect of even better to come, Lethal Promise had to be the main selection in our 2018 St Hugh’s Stakes betting tips and is strongly fancied to land the spoils.Heartwarming unexposed and feared most There are plenty of dangers in a competitive and wide-open renewal, but the Clive Cox trained Heartwarming looks potentially smart and is therefore feared most. After a fine debut effort when running very green and finishing a three-quarters of a length runner-up to Kurious, who has since run well to finish a close-up ninth of 22 in a Group 2 at Royal Ascot, this daughter of Showcasing showed a good attitude to go one better in a seven-runner affair at Sandown.
After racing sweetly on the heels of the leaders, Heartwarming was produced to take up the running inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly to beat Winter Light by 1 1/2 lengths. She was always holding the runner-up, so was value for more than the winning margin.
Although what she beat was questionable, it was an authoritative and taking display which suggested Heartwarming needed keeping onside. This obviously represents a step up in class and demands more, but she undoubtedly has the scope to make her mark at this level.
With Adam Kirby – who is one from one on her – once again in the saddle, a bold bid looks assured, so Heartwarming rates the main danger to Lethal Promise given her untapped potential.Scintilating an each-way alternativeScintilating failed to live up to expectations last time out when sixth of seven to Angel’s Hideaway in the Group 3 Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot. However, she raced far too keenly in the early stages and it’s far too soon to be writing her off judged on her impressive debut success over course and distance.
The daughter of Siyouni justified plenty of market support when beating Posted by 1 1/4 lengths in a 16-runner novice stakes. After racing prominently from the outset travelling strongly, jockey Harry Bentley barely had to move a muscle to ask her to take up the running a furlong from home. When he then asked Scintilating to go about her business, the response was immediate and she showed a smart turn off foot to score cosily.
Scintilating was given a tender introduction and won with far more in hand than the winning margin suggests. Given how well she settled that day, it may well be that she boiled over in the searing heat at Ascot. If that is the case, then she is definitely worth another chance and this does represent a drop in class; so, at the odds on offer, Scintilating looks decent each-way value to make the frame at least.Your Next Bet