Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Tips – Lots to Like About Leoncavallo
Newmarket Betting Tips · Saturday, 10th Oct 2020 - 15:35
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 08th Oct 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Pipe recruit looks ahead of mark for Cesarewitch
The big betting race at Newmarket on Saturday is the Cesarewitch (15:35), a 2m 2f Heritage Handicap for three-year-olds and upwards where a maximum field of 34 are set to go to post.
In what is a fiendish puzzle to solve, Leoncavallo looks potentially ahead of his mark and decent value to land the spoils. This eight-year-old was a very smart juvenile hurdler and rated 145 at his peak.
He failed to score in that sphere last season when trained by Dr Richard Newland but has found a new lease of life this year since joining David Pipe.
After being chinned on the post and beaten a nose over 1m 6f on the level at Sandown, the son of Cape Cross easily landed a novice chase at Stratford by 13 lengths.
Pipe then decided to switch him back to the Flat. He made a total mockery of his handicap mark of 76 when landing a 13-runner contest over 1m 6f at Haydock by 4 3/4 lengths from Weather Front.
Leoncavallo made smooth headway to take up the running three from home before, drawing clear tin win doing cartwheels.
He absolutely laughed at his toiling rivals and the assessor appears to have been very kind in racing him just 7lb for that facile success.
Off a revised rating of 83, Leoncavallo looks potentially thrown-in at the weights in relation to his form over the obstacles.
He is also versatile as regards underfoot conditions, will have no problem staying the trip and hails from a yard whose horses have been running well of late.
There is simply nothing not to like about his profile for this stamina test. Hence, at 10/1 with Betway, Leoncavallo had to be our main selection for the Cesarewitch Handicap.
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Upwardly mobile Coltrane feared most
There are dangers aplenty, but the Andrew Balding trained Coltrane is feared most given his ultra-progressive profile.
This three-year-old colt shaped with promise in his first two starts before getting off the mark in an 11-runner class 5 maiden over 1m 4f at Chepstow when scoring easily by 3 1/2 lengths.
Coltrane was allotted an opening handicap mark of 80 on the back of that. He scored in good style off it in a class 3 at Newmarket over the 1m 6f when backed as if defeat was out of the question and sent off the odds-on favourite
After tracking the leaders, Coltrane got pushed along two from home and picked up really well to take up the running at the furlong marker.
The son of Mastercraftsman then ran on strongly to beat Quloob going away by just under two lengths. He was well on top at the finish and value for more than the winning margin.
Coltrane then made light of a 6lb rise in the weights last time out in the valuable Melrose Handicap over 1m 6f at York where he travelled well before taking up the running a furlong from home and drawing readily clear to beat Arthurian Legend by four lengths.
He has been hit with a further 11lb rise for that, but a revised rating of 97 should not be beyond him given that he looks a potential pattern performer in the making.
Coltrane also does all his best work at the business end of affairs, so the big step up in trip promises to suit and may well unlock further improvement.
Everything looks in place for him to make a bold bid to land the four-timer and he can be backed at 9/1 with William Hill to do just that.
Vis A Vis appeals each-way at huge Cesarewitch Handicap odds
Of those at massive odds, Vis A Vis looks a lively outsider and worth considering each-way at the 33/1 on offer with Betfred who are paying six places.
This French import Vis A Vis won his first two starts in 2018 after joining dual purpose handler Neil Mulholland.
In the first of those successes over 1m 6f at Sandown, the six-year-old colt came from off the pace and showed a tenacious attitude to get up close home and beat Dark Pearl by a head off a rating of 80.
Vis A Vis then followed-up in good style over 2m at Kempton off 2lb higher when beating Just In Time by 2 3/4 lengths, before running a blinder in this when sent off a well-backed 10/1 shot and finishing a 4 3/4 length fourth of 33 to Low Sun off a mark of 90.
The son of Dansili is now able to race off 7lb lower, so that gives him every chance from a handicapping perspective on the pick of his form.
Although well-beaten in both his starts this season following a lengthy break, including last time out at Haydock when 11th of 13 to Leoncavallo, he appeals as the type to bounce back and been laid out for this.
Mulholland also has his team in good form at present and has booked Darragh Keenan to do the steering. He takes off a handy 3lb with his claim and, if taking it into account, Vis A Vis looks weighted to make his presence felt and capable of sneaking into the frame.
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