Ascot Betting Tips – No Looking Past Logician in Cumberland Lodge
Ascot Betting Tips · Saturday, 03rd Oct 2020 - 14:30
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Friday, 02nd Oct 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Cumberland Lodge Stakes betting tips – Logician can stay unbeaten
Logician looks a cut-above his rivals and a worthy odds-on favourite to maintain his unbeaten record in the 1m 4 Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes at Ascot on Saturday (14:30).
Trained by the in-form John Gosden, this four-year-old progressed at a rate of knots last season when rattling up a five-timer.
After comfortably landing a 19-runner maiden by two lengths on debut at Newbury, he followed-up in good style at Newmarket when running on strongly to account for Away He Goes by 1 1/2 lengths.
Logician then made a total mockery of his opening handicap mark of 90 when romping to a facile 4 1/2 length success over Natty Night back at Newbury.
The Khalid Abdullah owned colt then took the step up into Group 2 company in his stride when a commanding winner of the Great Voltiguer over 1m 4f at York. He stayed on strongly to comfortably beat Constantinople by 1 3/4 lengths.
Logician went on to round-off the campaign with success in the final Classic contest of the season when landing the St Leger at Doncaster where he quickened smartly to score by just over two lengths in a track record time.
He comes into the Cumberland Lodge Stakes on the back of just one run this year, when registering a facile seven-length success in a conditions contest at Doncaster.
An official rating of 118 gives Logician 6lb and upwards in hand on his seven rivals, and this doesn’t look the strongest renewal of the race. He looks impossible to oppose and cramped odds of 4/7 with Bet365 look fully justified.
Desert Encounter appeals each-way in Cumberland Lodge Stakes
This David Simcock trained eight-year-old landed the spoils in 2017 running of the Group 3 Legacy Cup at Newbury. He only had to be driven out 12 months later to retain his crown when comfortably accounting for Pivoine by a length.
Desert Encounter went to round off the campaign with an easy four-length success in the Grade 1 Canadian International Stakes at Woodbine and make it four wins on the bounce.
The veteran has had five starts this season and shown that he retains plenty of ability when posting some solid efforts in defeat.
They include when third to Dame Malliot in a Group 2 at Newmarket and when a three-quarters of a length runner-up to Pablo Escobarr in the Group 3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood.
Desert Encounter was also far from disgraced when third in a Listed contest at Windsor and not ideally placed.
He comes into the Cumberland Lodge Stakes having found only Elarqam too good when sticking to the task well to be beaten 1 1/2 lengths.
A repeat of those efforts would give Desert Encounter a chance of hitting the frame here and he is a consistent sort who hardly knows how to run a bad race.
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Bengough Stakes betting tips – Cape Byron a strong fancy
The other Group 3 on a competitive card is the 6f Benbough Stakes (15:40). Last year’s winner Cape Byron has an excellent record at the track, so looks worth siding with at the 5/2 available with BetVictor to retain his crown.
This Roger Varian trained six-year-old has won four times and been placed once in eight starts at the Berkshire venue.
He is also lightly-raced for his age having won five of his 17 starts, and took his form to a new level last season.
After he only needed driving out on return to action when cosily beat Kynren by a neck in the valuable 7f Victoria Cup here, Cape Byron followed-up in good style over course and distance when landing the 26-runner Wokingham Handicap.
He showed a smart turn of foot to account for Tis Marvellous by 1 1/2 lengths. That impressive success saw Cape Byron sent off a well-backed 6/1 shot for the Group 1 July Cup over 6f at Newmarket where, after racing too freely, he weakened to finish 11th of 12 to Ten Sovereigns.
The son of Shamardal then ran well when a two-length third to Shine So Bright in a Group 2 over 7f at York, before showing a smart turn of foot to easily account for Donjuan Triumphant in this by two lengths.
Those efforts have earned him an official rating of 113, the highest in this line-up. Cape Byron also now drops back in class having run in a Group 1 here on his final start last season.
He now returns to action following 350 days on the sidelines but has an excellent record fresh, so fitness is unlikely to be an issue.
The Tin Man feared most in Bengough Stakes
Now dropped back in grade, The Tin Man looks sure to go well and thus rates the main danger to Cape Byron.
This James Fanshawe has won three of his 11 starts at the venue. The last of those came in the 2017 running of the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes where he beat Tasleet by a neck.
He went on to land the Sprint Cup at Haydock the following year and, although he failed to get his head in front last season, The Tin Man did post some solid efforts in defeat.
They included when a 4 1/2 lengths sixth of 17 to Blue Point in the Diamond Jubilee here where he did all his best work at the finish after being slowly away.
The son of Equiano also ran a cracker on his penultimate start of the campaign when a half-length runner-up to Hello Youmzain in the Sprint Cup at Haydock.
Although the veteran is not quite the force of old, he showed that he retained enough ability to win a race of this nature on his second start this year when a hlf-length runner-up to Tabdeed in the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes at Newbury.
The Tin Man also ran as well as could be expected last time out when a four-length sixth of 13 to Dream Of Dreams in the Sprint Cup. This represents a return to calmer waters.
This now looks to be his level, so a big run looks on the cards. The Tin Man can be backed at 3/1 with William Hill to notch a 10th career success.
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