Newmarket Betting Tips – Indigo Girl a Strong Fancy for Fillies’ Mile
Newmarket Betting Tips · Friday, 09th Oct 2020 - 15:35
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Wednesday, 07th Oct 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Fillies’ Mile betting tips – Gosden filly appeals most
The feature race at Newmarket on Friday is the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile (15:35). Following two impressive successes, Indigo Girl is strongly fancied to provide trainer John Gosden with a fifth winner in the juvenile contest.
This daughter of Dubawi put in a most taking display on debut at Yarmouth. Indigo Girl overcame a slow start before showing a smart turn of foot to shoot clear and beat Final Thought by three lengths.
The runner-up is a well-regraded sort who had previously shaped with plenty of promise when fourth at Beverley to an exciting prospect in the shape of Pythagorus and has since gone on to open her account at Wolverhampton
That gave the form a fairly decent look. The way in which Indigo Girl overcame greenness in the early part of the race to win with such authority suggested she was an exciting prospect who needed keeping firmly onside.
That view was confirmed when she took the step up into Group 2 company in her stride and landed the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster’s St Leger meeting.
After being slowly away, Indigo Girl made smooth headway from the rear two out and took up the running approaching the final furlong.
When Frankie Dettori then asked her to go about her business, she quickened instantly to easily beat Dubai Fountain by three-quarters of a length.
It was a performance that earned her top-price quotes of 16/1 and 20/1 for next year’s 1000 Guineas and Oaks respectively.
The Fillies’ Mile demands more, but Indigo Girl is fully expected to prove up to the task. Despite a strong Irish challenge from Pretty Gorgeous and Shale, she has more scope than those fillies for further progress.
Indigo Girl is 3/1 with Betfred to land the hat-trick and further enhance her Classic claims.
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Challenge Stakes betting tips – Pogo appeals each-way in Group 2 test
Pogo wasn’t at his best last time out but, if bouncing back, looks decent value in the 7f Group 2 Challenge Stakes (15:00)
This Charlie Hills trained four-year-old ran a cracker second time up this season when a 1 3/4 lengths third of 23 in the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot
He then made all and drew clear from two out to slam Urban Icon by 5 1/2 lengths in a Listed contest at Windsor, where he had the re-opposing and subsequent Group 3 winner Foxtrot Lady a further 3/4 of a length behind in third.
That victory earned him a crack at the Group 1 Pix d’Ispahan over 1m 1f at Chantilly. Pogo belied his odds of 28/1 when finishing a fine 3 3/4 lengths third of eight to Persian King.
The winner is a top class Andre Fabre inmate who has gone on to beat Pinatubo in a Group 1 at Longchamp, before running a screamer when third of 15 to Sottsass in last weekend’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at the same venue.
That gives the form a strong look in relation to the lower grade Challenge Stakes. Although only fifth last time out in a Group 3 over 1m 1f at York, Pogo has since been given a break to freshen-up.
If that does the trick, then he looks like a big player in this judged on his run in the Ispahan at a venue where he is 1-1.
The drop back in trip also holds no fears and, if allowed an easy lead, Pogo could prove tough to peg back. Hence, at odds of 10/1 with Bet365, he makes plenty of each-way appeal in a wide-open looking renewal of the Challenge Stakes.
Cornwallis Stakes betting tips – Method of major interest under Murphy
Now dropped back in class following a luckless run last time out, Method looks a worthy favourite to get back to winning ways in the 5f Cornwallis Stakes (13:50) – one of three Group 3s on Fillies’ Mile day.
Trained by Martyn Meade, this two-year-old son of Mehmas looked a top notch prospect on debut at Doncaster when forging clear to beat Fev Rover by just over four lengths.
The runner-up has gone on to land a Listed contest at Sandown and a Group 2 at Deauville before finishing an unlucky in-running fourth in the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp when sent off favourite.
That gives the form a rock solid look. Method duly went on to follow-up in a Listed contest at Newbury where he only had to be nudged out by Oisin Murphy to readily account for Mighty Gurkha by just over two lengths.
That success saw him sent off the 100/30 second-favourite for the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes at this venue under Frankie Dettori.
Method lost all chance when the saddle slipped after just two furlongs, however, and was allowed to come home in his own time when finishing a 22-length last of eight to Supremacy.
A line can easily be put through that. Judged on his previous efforts, Method looks a very exciting prospect and open to stacks more improvement.
This is also far less taxing than the Middle Park. An official rating of 106 gives Method 2lb and upwards in hand on his 10 rivals.
So, with Murphy now back in the saddle, Method is this a strong fancy at 5/2 with William Hill to take this en route to better things.
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