Geoffrey Freer Stakes Betting Tips – Hukum value in Newbury Group 3
Newbury Betting Tips · Saturday, 15th Aug 2020 - 15:00
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 13th Aug 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
More to come from progressive Royal Ascot winner
The unexposed and progressive Hukum looks decent value to take the step up into Group 3 company in his stride and land the spoils in the 1m 5f Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury on Saturday (15:00).
This Owen Burrows trained and Hamdan Al Maktoum owned son of Sea The Stars shaped with plenty of promise on debut as a juvenile when staying on in eye-catching fashion under a hands and heels ride to finish a six-length third to Cherokee Trail.
He then showed the benefit of that experience when opening his account in good style over a mile at Kempton back in November.
Hukum lost ground when hampered four from home, but then stayed on strongly to get up and beat Laser Show, a winner since, by a length.
That suggested an opening mark of 90 for Hukum was lenient. That proved to be the case at Royal Ascot where he followed-up in the 1m 4f King George V Stakes.
After racing sweetly on the heels of the leaders under Jim Crowley, Hukum took up the running going well two from home. When pressed inside the last, he then found plenty to account for Kipps by half-a-length.
It was a most taking display. The third home Subjectivist has since landed a Listed contest at Hamilton before finishing a fine 1 1/2 lengths third in the Group 3 Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.
Meanwhile, the fifth and seventh home, Arthurian Fable and Win O’Clock, have also come out and won since to give the form a solid look.
The Geoffrey Freer Stakes does require more, but the step up in trip promises to suit Hukum and he remains open to stacks of improvement. So, at 7/1 with Betway, he makes plenty of appeal here.
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The betting is headed by Andrew Balding’s Morando, who has won the Geoffrey Freer Stakes before in 2018 and placed in it last term. Two years ago, the seven-year-old got up in the dying stride to dead-heat with Young Rascal.
Morando then started off last season in fine style when romping to an eight-length success over Kew Gardens in the Group 3 Ormonde Stakes at Chester where he relished the soft underfoot conditions.
The grey son of Kendargent went on to finish a decent fourth to Defoe in the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot. He also ran well in this when finding Technician only three-quarters of a length too good.
Morando went on to round off the campaign with an easy six-length success over Sextant in a Group 2 at Ascot run on soft ground.
He comes into the Geoffrey Freer Stakes this year on the back of just one run. hat came in the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes at Ascot when a promising keeping on 5 1/4 lengths seventh of nine to Fanny Logan.
Morando looks sure to strip fitter for that. On the pick of his form, there is no doubt that he is a major player in this.
However, all his best performances have come on testing ground and the going at the time of writing during this dry spell is good, good to firm in places. That has to be a big negative.
It makes Morando look plenty short enough in the betting at 2/1 with William Hill. For that reason alone, he is opposed on this occasion.
Tritonic has registered two terrific efforts in defeat this season, so is another with claims in a wide-open looking renewal of the Geoffrey Freer Stakes.
In the first of those at Royal Ascot, this Alan King inmate went down all guns blazing in the 14-runner Golden Gates Handicap over 1m 2f when getting collared close home and beaten half-a-length into second by Highland Chief.
The winner was thought good enough to run in the Epsom Derby next time up. Although a well-beaten 10th of 16 to Serpentine in the premier Classic, Highland Chief has since run a blinder when a three-quarters of a length runner-up to Mogul in the aforementioned Group 3 Gordon Stakes.
That gives the form a solid look. Tritonic backed it up with a fine 1 3/4 lengths second to Subjectivist line a Listed contest over 1m 3f at Hamilton when sticking to the task well.
On a line through the winner, there is little to choose between him and Hukum on form. The step up in trip also promises to suit Tritonic who is a battler rather than a flashy type with a potent turn of foot.
The booking of Andrea Atzeni to do the steering for the first time also catches the eye, as he has a decent overall strike rate when teaming up with the yard.
So, taking everything into account, Tritonic looks sure to make a bold bid to gain a deserved big race success. Hence, at 13/2 with BetVictor, he makes plenty of each-way appeal.
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