Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Tips – Stamina Can Win the Day for Stradivarius
Longchamp Betting Tips · Saturday, 03rd Oct 2020 - 15:05
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 01st Oct 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Gosden’s star stayer fancied for Longchamp glory
Stradivarius has plenty going for him in the feature race at Longchamp on Sunday, the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (15:05). This 1m 4f Grade 1 is Europe’s richest Flat turf race with a prestigious roll of honour.
Trained by John Gosden, this six-year-old has won 16 of 24 career starts and also made the frame on five occasions.
Eight of those successes have come at this elite level and Stradivarius has totally dominated in the staying division in the last three seasons.
The Bjorn Nielsen owned son of Sea The Stars has looked as good as ever this year, landing a hat-trick of successes in the 2m 4f Ascot Gold Cup before becoming the first horse to win four Goodwood Cups.
Stradivarius comes into the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe on the back of a fine second to Anthony Van Dyke in the Group 2 Prix Foy over course and distance. He finished off the race powerfully, going down by just a short-head.
That should have put Stradivarius spot on for this. With the ground in Paris currently testing and more rain forecast, his stamina will be brought into play.
He has plenty of winning form on soft and will be battling all the way to the line when others are likely to be crying enough.
Gosden has also secured the services of crack French jockey Olivier Peslier, who is seeking a fifth win in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, to partner Stradivarius for the first time.
As the second highest-rated in the 15-runner line up off 125, Stradivarius is just 3lb below stable companion and favourite Enable.
At best odds of 13/2 with Bet365, he looks decent value to win a fascinating renewal of the Arc despite a less than ideal draw out wide in stall 14.
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Enable favourite for record breaking third Arc success
Gosden also saddles the aforementioned Enable, who heads the betting at 5/4 with Betfred to become the first horse to win the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe three times.
This super six-year-old mare has won 15 of her 18 starts and landed her tenth Group/Grade 1 success when easily beating Magical in last year’s Yorkshire Oaks.
Prior to that, the daughter of Nathaniel had stayed on gamely to beat her old rival in the Eclipse at Sandown before going on to follow-up in the King George at Ascot when getting the better of Crystal Ocean by a neck.
Enable went on to end last season with a cracking 1 3/4 lengths second to Waldgeist in this contest. She has looked as good as ever in three starts this year.
After finishing runner-up to the race-fit Ghaiyyath in her defence of the Eclipse and looking ring rusty, Enable resumed winning ways when easily accounting for Sovereign by 5 1/2 lengths in the King George to retain her crown.
She comes into her fourth Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe following a facile success in the Group 3 September Stakes at Kempton when scoring by seven lengths and barely having to break sweat.
Enable also has winning form on soft ground and a good draw in stall five. However, all her best runs have come on a quicker surface and she seemed to get a bit bogged down in very soft going 12 months ago.
So, for all that she sets a clear standard, Enable looks plenty short enough and worth taking on at the odds on offer.
Sottsass the each-way angle in Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe
Trained by Jean-Claude Rouget, this four-year-old was described by his handler as “exceptional” after his success in last year’s Group 1 Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly where he showed a smart turn of foot to readily beat Persian King by two lengths.
Sottsass went on to round-off the campaign with a fine third of 12 to Waldgeist in this when sticking to the task well to be beaten 3 1/2 lengths.
After shaping as if needing the run badly seasonal reappearance in a Group 2 over 1m 2f here on very soft ground when a 1 3/4 length fourth of nine to Shaman, the son of Siyouni got back on the scoresheet when landing the Group 1 Prix Ganay at Chantilly.
Following a break, Sottsass then went down by a neck to Skalleti in a Group 3 at Deauville before finishing a solid staying on two-length fourth of eight to Magical in the Irish Champion Stakes over 1m 2f at Leopardstown.
The step back up to 1m 4f here is sure to suit. Sottsass has had his whole campaign geared around going better at the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.
A bold bid looks assured from stall four and he has every chance of hitting the frame at least.
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