Prix Rothschild Betting Tips – Watch Me Fancied Most at Deauville
Deauville Betting Tips · Sunday, 02nd Aug 2020 - 14:50
Author:
Jamie Clark
Publish Date:
Friday, 31st Jul 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our experienced editor
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our experienced editor
Jamie Clark was Sports Editor of Coral bookmakers between 2014 and 2017 during their merger with Labrokes and a key period for the British betting industry. Working as a bookie’s runner on the point to point circuit in the Midlands and at Market Rasen Racecourse where his late godfather had a trackside pitch growing up, he has had ties to horse racing all of his life. A regular visitor to Cheltenham during the National Hunt season and York over the summer, he has been involved in Horsebetting.com since its inception. Jamie now brings you his take on major news stories from the racing world and those all-important betting tips.
In-form Graffard should see filly follow-up
The big race in France on Sunday is the Group 1 Prix Rothschild for fillies and mares over the straight mile at Deauville (14:50). Watch Me was an easy win over course and distance on her reappearance, so can follow-up with more success at elite level.
Trained by the in-form Francis-Henri Graffard, the four-year-old daughter of Olympic glory has won four of her eight starts. She pulled off a 20/1 shock in the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot last summer.
Watch Me defeated double 1000 Guineas heroine Hermosa when running on well for a 1 1/2 lengths victory. She was then far from disgraced in open company when fourth in the Prix Jacque Le Marois over course and distance.
The winner, Romanised, has come out and won first time out this season. You can say the same of the runner-up, Shaman. Watch Me was only beaten 2 1/2 lengths and then had a luckless run in the Prix de l’Opera on Arc weekend at Longchamp.
You can’t stay that she didn’t stay the 1m 2f trip as she was twice denied a clear run. Watch Me still finished just a length behind Villa Marina in third.
Subsequent Group 1 second Terebellum was behind her in fifth. Watch Me looked as good as ever on reappearance when running out 2 1/2 lengths too good for the re-opposing Norma in a Listed contest.
Although giving 8lb weight-for-age away to a trio of three-year-olds is no easy task, she is the only Group 1 winner in the six-runner line-up.
Older fillies and mares have a good record in the Prix Rothschild. With Graffard on an incredible 45 per cent strike rate in the last fortnight at the time of writing, Watch Me appeals most here.
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Fabrice Chappet drops French 1000 Guineas runner-up Speak Of The Devil down in trip. A repeat of that Classic run over course and distance should see her go close.
This three-year-old Wootton Bassett filly is a round course winner over the trip on debut. Speak Of The Devil was then runner-up after 200 days off on her return to action at Longchamp.
Connections went straight into Classic company off the back of that. Speak Of The Devil outran her odds of 18/1 and made Dream And Do push out all the stops, going down fighting by a nose.
She simply didn’t get the trip when stepped up to an extended 1m 2f Group 1 Prix de Diane, weakening in the final half-furlong. Now down in distance, she appeals to go well at a big price.
Speak Of The Devil is preferred to British raider Summer Romance, one of two engaged for owners Godolphin. Trained by Charlie Appleby, the three-year-old daughter of Kingman won her first two starts last season.
Summer Romance then disappointed on her final couple of juvenile outings when a beaten favourite. She could only finish eighth in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket on reappearance, but did land the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom Downs last time out.
As Summer Romance made all and ran on well, reversing the form of his previous run with Cloak Of Spirits. She won by three-quarters of a length.
The Prix Rothschild demands more, though. On their Classic runs, Speak Of The Devil appeals more than Summer Romance and can give Watch Me most bother.
Know It All has each-way claims in Prix Rothschild
Irish runner Know It All has progressed in recent outings, so looks an each-way alternative. Trained by Johnny Murtagh, the three-year-old daughter of Lord Kanaloa won a Curragh maiden on her second start last season.
The Qatar Racing owned filly was then just three-quarters of a length behind dual Classic heroine Love when down the field in a Group 2. Know It All was then a three-quarters of a length third to New York Girl in a Group 3.
She was nearest at the finish and a 1 1/2 lengths runner-up to Love Locket in a Classic trial on reappearance. Know It All then relished the step up in trip to a mile at Leopardstown.
This was a comfortable victory at Group 3 level for her, where she was ridden clear. Know It All ran out a 2 1/4 lengths winner.
Connections clearly mean business in the Prix Rothschild as the owners’ retained rider, Oisin Murphy, now takes over in the saddle. The Murtagh stable is on a 23 per cent strike rate in the last 14 days at the time of writing too.
That suggests a bold bid from Know It All is on the cards. It would be no surprise, then, if she hits the frame.
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