Friday, 30th Nov 2018
The Newbury betting tips for December 1 from Horsebetting.com experts are three best bets for the supporting card on Ladbrokes Trophy day. Nicky Henderson’s Lust For Glory looked an exciting prospect when scoring on debut over the obstacles, so rates the best bet on the card in the Listed 2m Ladbrokes Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle that gets proceedings underway. Her stablemate Champ rates out next best bet in the 2m 4f Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle, having been allotted what could be a lenient mark. Kapcorse, meanwhile, makes plenty of each-way appeal under Bryony Frost in the 2m 6f Sir Peter O’Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase. Find out more about these horses’ chances in our in-depth preview and with Newbury betting tips for December 1 below.Lust For Glory the answer to Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle openerLust For Glory looked an exciting prospect when making a winning debut over the obstacles and is strongly fancied to follow-up in the Listed 2m Ladbrokes Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle that get proceedings underway on Ladbrokes Trophy day at Newbury on Saturday (12:10). This five-year-old won her sole start in an Irish bumper and shaped with bags of potential in two bumper runs last season after joining trainer Nicky Henderson.
Following an eye-catching third of nine to Buildmeupbuttercup at Ascot when racing far too keenly and not knocked about, the daughter of Getaway opened her account under rules in good style when settling much better and coming from off the pace to land a 16-runner affair at Ludlow.
Lust For Glory showed a smart turn of foot to quickly put the race to bed after hitting the front at the furlong marker to easily beat Crackle Lyn Rose by 3 1/4 lengths. There was nothing not to like about the way in which she got the job done having stumbled slightly five furlongs from home.
It was a performance which suggested she needed keeping onside this season when sent hurdling. That view was confirmed when Lust For Glory landed a competitive nine-runner class 2 contest over this course and distance at the beginning of last month.
After being held-up in the last quartet, Lust For Glory made stealthy headway approaching three from home. She was the produced to challenge after the last and stayed on strongly to beat Posh Trish by 3 1/4 lengths – despite showing signs of inexperience and hanging left on the run-in.
It was a most taking display and, although Lust For Glory now meets the winner on 7lb worse terms, she has far more scope than that rival. She looks destined for better things, so is taken to confirm the form with Paul Nicholls’ charge and thus rates our best bet of our Newbury betting tips for December 1 on a cracking seven-race card.Champ weighted to strike on handicap debutHenderson also looks to hold leading claims of landing the valuable 2m 4f Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (13:50) with Champ. This JP McManus owned son of King’s Theatre has won two of his three starts over the obstacles and looks potentially head of his mark.
After winning his bumper on debut at Southwell and finishing runner-up in a similar contest at Kempton, the six-year-old ran a blinder on hurdles debut when finding only Vinndication a neck too good at Ascot. Champ only gave way in the last 100 yards and the winner is a very smart sort who went on to land a Listed novice hurdle at Huntingdon to be rated 149.
The front two also pulled 13 lengths clear of the third home Just A Sting, who is rated 128 over hurdles and 137 over fences, so that gives the form a very strong look. Champ then duly went one better when landing a 10-runner contest at Perth by 10 lengths before founding off the campaign with a facile 10 lengths success over Meery Milan at Warwick.
He cruised home in the latter off an official rating of 136 and now makes his handicap debut off just 3lb higher. The assessor may have taken a real chance in allotting him an opening mark of just 139, especially judged on his run behind Vinndication.
Champ looks thrown-in at the weights based on that performance and also has bags of scope and untapped potential. So, with the the yard going well and operating at a 25 per cent strike rate at the time of writing, we found Champ impossible to oppose in this. Hence he had to feature as the next best bet in our Newbury betting tips for December 1.Kapcorse odds appeal each-way In the 2m 6f Sir Peter O’Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase (13:20), Kapcorse appeals each-way under Bryony Frost despite having been a bitter disappointment on return to action at this venue over 2m 4f last month. The Paul Nicholls trained gelding trailed in a distant seventh of 13 to Siruah Du Lac when sent off 11/4 favourite and never jumping with any fluency.
It was a run which was too bad to be true. The five-year-old looks worth another chance to confirm himself a potentially well-treated type – judged on his very taking success over the obstacles at Bangor back in May when beating Go West Young Man by eight lengths.
After being held-up by Frost, the son of Kapgarde crept into the contest from four out travelling strongly. He was then upsides the leader two from home when that one came to grief and readily drew clear approaching the last to put the race to bed and cruise home on the run-in.
Kapcorse was never asked any sort of serious question and made a totally mockery of his opening mark of 116. He was hit with a 12lb rise for that victory, but a revised rating of 128 may still seriously underestimate his ability – judged on his highly promising fourth of 16 in a valuable and competitive conditions contest at Auteuil in France before joining Nicholls.
Dragon D’Estruval, who finished three lengths in front of him that day, is now rated 143 over fences, so that suggests Kapcorse should be up to winning a race of this nature off his current rating. The step up to 2m 6f for the first time also promises to suit and underfoot conditions are fine.
So, off just 10st 10lb and in receipt of weight from all bar three of his rivals, Kapcorse has more going for him than his odds suggest. That’s why he features as the each-way punt and completes our Newbury betting tips for December 1.Your Next Bet