Wednesday, 07th Nov 2018
Horsebetting.com experts give their three best bets for a terrific jumps meeting at Newbury on Thursday, 8 November. Smart hurdler Lostintranslation is expected to make a winning debut over the larger obstacles in the 2m 6f novices’ chase and rates the standout bet on the seven-race card. Kapcorse scored in terrific style last time out and looks ahead of his mark, so is our next best in the 2m 3f handicap chase. Label Des Obeaux, meanwhile, appeals each-way in the 3m Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle qualifier given that his stable is in red-hot form at present and he looks potentially well-treated. Find out more about these horses in our our in-depth preview with Newbury betting tips for November 8.Lostintranslation strongly fancied to make winning chase debutLostintranslation makes his eagerly awaited debut over the larger obstacles in the 2m 6f beginners’ chase at Newbury on Thursday (13:50) and is strongly fancied to make it a winning one. This Colin Tizzard trained six-year-old developed into a very smart hurdler last season when winning once and posted some really solid efforts in defeat.
He ran a blinder on this card 12 months ago when finding only the highly-regard and very useful Claimantakinforgan 2 1/4 lengths too good, and duly went one better next time up here when readily landing a 13-runner maiden hurdle by 3 1/2 lengths.
Lostintranslation was then clearly amiss when when a 35 lengths last of six to First Flow in a Grade 2 at Haydock and, following a break, duly showed that running to be all wrong when a fine seventh of 19 to Summerville Boy in the Grade 1 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle over 2m at the Cheltenham Festival.
After being held-up towards the rear, the son of Flemensfirth made food headway four from home to chase the leaders. He then got hampered at a crucial stage at the third last before getting outpaced between the final two flights to be beaten 8 1/4 lengths. It was a big run given how the race panned out, and one which suggested he was crying out for a step up in trip.
That view was confirmed when Lostintranslation ran an absolute stormer on his final start of the campaign to finish a half-a-length second to Black Op in a Grade 1 over 2m 4f at Aintree. He again came from off the pace and led when making a mistake at the last. The pair then had a ding dong tussle to the line, with Black Op only getting on top in the shadows of the post.
Lostintransalation lost nothing in defeat and Tizzard has always maintained that whatever he achieved over hurdles would be a bonus, as he was bred to come into his own as a chaser. The gelding has the potential to take top rank among this season’s novice chasers, so is fully expected to take this en route to better things and thus rates the best bet on the card among our Newbury betting tips for November 8.Kapcorse weighted to collect for in-form NichollsKapcorse looks potentially ahead of the assessor and worth a punt to provide in-form trainer Paul Nicholls with another winner in the 2m 3f handicap chase (15:30). This gelding was bought by leading Irish owner JP McManus after finishing a highly promising fourth of 16 in a valuable and competitive conditions contest at Auteuil in France.
He then failed to trouble the judge in there starts over hurdles after joining Nicholls, but two of those efforts were not devoid of promise. Connections then decided to switch Kapcorse to fences for his final start last season and he could not have been more impressive in beating Go West Young Man by eight lengths at Bangor.
After being held-up, the five-year-old crept into the contest from four out travelling strongly. He was then upsides the leader two from home when that one came to grief and readily drew clear approaching the last to put the race to bed. Jockey Bryony Frost then had the luxury of allowing him to cruise home on the run-in.
Kapcorse was never asked any sort of serious question and made a totally mockery of his opening mark of 116. He has been hit with a 12lb rise for that taking success, but a revised rating of 128 may still seriously underestimate his ability given that Dragon D’Estruval – who finished three lengths in front of him when third in the aforementioned race at Auteuil – is now rated 143 over fences.
The son of Kapgarde also remains lightly-raced, totally unexposed and looks the type who should have stacks more to offer this season. Kapcorse also has underfoot conditions to suit and retained McManus rider Barry Geraghty now takes over in the saddle. There is simply nothing not to like about his chances in this, so that’s why he had to be our next best bet on a cracking seven-race card.Label Des Obeaux an each-way Pertemps puntIn the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (14:45), a qualifier for then final of the 3m contest at next year’s Cheltenham Festival, Label Des Obeaux looks capable of going well at a big price. This seven-year-old hails from the yard of Alan King, who is operating at a tremendous strike rate of just over 30 per cent at the time of writing, and is potentially well-treated now switched back to the smaller obstacles.
The gelding won three times over fences in 2017 with the last of those successes coming in a competitive class 2 handicap at Ayr where he beat Calett Mad by a head off a mark of 148. This son of Saddler Maker was also far from disgraced at Sandown 12 months ago when a keeping on 8 1/2 lengths third to Might Bite in a Listed contest off an official rating of 153.
Label Des Obeaux now reverts back to hurdles off 141, so that makes him a fascinating contender at the weights on the pick of his form. He also has a strike rate of 38 per cent over the 3m trip of this, having won three times and been placed once in eight starts, and proven winning form on the forecast ground.
So, given that his stable can also do little wrong at present, Label Des Obeaux has more going for him than his odds would suggest. Hence he features as the each-way punt in our Newbury betting tips for November 8.Your Next Bet