Friday, 20th Jul 2018
Tin Hat heads Horsebetting.com tips for the valuable Super Sprint Stakes at Newbury on Saturday, 21 July. Kinks is feared most in the feature juvenile sales contest over the flying 5f. Trainer Richard Fahey has a good recent record in the race, so his Red Balloons appeals each-way at the odds on offer. For full details on all these horses chances read our in-depth 2018 Super Sprint Stakes betting tips preview.Tin Hat a tasty punt in Super SprintThe feature race at Newbury on Saturday the the Super Sprint Stakes (15:35), and Tin Hat looks to hold leading claims of landing the 5f juvenile contest for trainer Eve Johnson Houghton.
After a highly promising head second to Kinks on debut at Bath, the son of Helmet showed the benefit of that experience when scoring easily by 2 1/4 lengths at Brighton. Tin Hat then disappointed when a well beaten third at Lingfield but quickly bounced back to finish a half-length runner up to Jungleinthebungle in the Two Year Old Trophy Conditions’ Stakes at Beverley.
He has since gone on to post a career-best effort when a fine fifth of 28 to Soldier’s Call in the Listed 5f Windsor Castle stakes at Royal Ascot. Although beaten 3 1/4 lengths, that does not tell the whole story as he ran better than the bare result suggests.
From what proved to be a poor draw in stall six, he showed plenty of pace to chase the leaders on the unfavoured far side and kept on really well at the finish. Tin Hat had no chance with the stands’ side group, which produced the first and second home, so it was a top class effort given how the race panned out.
Tin Hat also finished just half-a-length behind the fourth home Van Beethoven, who has gone on to land a Group 2 at The Curragh. That gives the form solid look in relation to this valuable sales contest.
An official rating of 94 means that Tin Hat is also the joint top rated in the line up (with Kinks) and, given the conditions of the race, makes him a major player at the weights. Taking everything into account, Tin Hat ticks plenty of boxes and rates our main bet.Kinks a key player in wide-open contestThere are a whole host of potential dangers in a typically fierce and big field renewal, so the aforementioned Kinks is feared most in light of that victory over Tin Hat. That was a gutsy success, but the Mick Channon trained colt did have the benefit of a previous run – unlike the runner-up.
Kinks went on to follow-up in good style at Ripon when making all to score readily by 2 1/4 lengths and then wasn’t beaten far when sixth in a Listed contest at Sandown won by highly-regarded Tim Easterby inmate Vintage Brut.
The son of Sixties Icon has had just one run since and that came in the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes, where he was far from disgraced in finishing sixth of 10 to US raider Shang Shang Shang. After being held-up, Kinks made headway to hold every chance at the two marker until weakening late on and beaten 3 1/2 lengths.
He may not have been suited by the hold-up tactics, which were also employed at Sandown, as both his successes came when blasting from the front and making all. If connections revert to that running style in this, Kinks could prove a tough nut to peg back and pass now dropped in class for a yard that has done well with its juveniles this season.Red Balloons another to consider given connectionsTrainer Richard Fahey has won two of the last three runnings and Red Balloons looks the pick of his six-pronged attack on this year’s renewal.
After shaping with promise to make the frame on her first two starts behind two well-regarded winners, the daughter of Kyllachy was pitched into the deep end by connections and allowed to take her chance in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot.
Red Balloons showed plenty of early dash to hold every chance two from home in the far side group before weakening to finish 14th of 22 to Signora Cabello, who had been ante post favourite for this before being pulled out in favour of a run in France.
She ran as well as could be expected, given her odds of 33/1, and Red Balloons is clearly highly thought of by Team Fahey. She has since gone on to open her account in good style at Nottingham when quickening clear and scoring easily by 1 1/2 lengths.
That was only a minor contest, but Red Balloons did the job in style and it will have done her confidence the world of good. So, with the prospect of more to come, she looks a lively outsider and is therefore our each-way play in the race.Your Next Bet