Thoroughbred Stakes betting tips: Threading backed to bounce back at Glorious Goodwood

Horsebetting.com give their Thoroughbred Stakes betting tips for the Group 3 1m race for three-year-olds at Glorious Goodwood on day four of the meeting; Friday, 3, August. Threading rates the best bet, while the unexposed Regal Reality is feared most and Ostillo is each-way value. Find our why when you read our 2018 Thoroughbred Stakes betting tips preview.

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Odds
5/1
Selection
Threading
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Odds
7/2
Danger
Regal Reality
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Odds
6/1
E/W
Ostillo
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Threading has Thoroughbred claims at Glorious Goodwood

Mark Johnston knows what it takes to saddle a Thoroughbred Stakes winner and his Yorkshire based team are having quite a season, so his filly Threading looks worth a wager to bounce back from a disappointing display at a track that doesn’t suit in the Grade 3 1m contest for three-year-olds at Glorious Goodwood on Friday (14:25).

This daughter of Exceed And Excel is a course winner having landed a 6f maiden on debut at this meeting 12 months ago. Threading absolutely bolted up at the track winning by six lengths but eased down, leaving her value for plenty more than her margin of victory.

She went on to score in the juvenile Group 2 Lowther Stakes at York’s Ebor Festival, but clearly doesn’t find Newmarket to her tastes having ran poorly there on three occasions. It would be foolish to dismiss Threading’s claims based on that, however, as she returned to a more happy hunting ground in the Knavesmire on her second start this season to land a Listed contest impressively by seven lengths.

That put her spot on for a crack at the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot where she chased Irish 1000 Guineas and subsequent Falmouth Stakes heroine Alpha Centauri home. Such form sets a clear standard in the context of this lower grade affair and being beaten six lengths by such a special filly is absolutely no disgrace.

Threading is the highest rated of the small but select Thoroughbred Stakes field on a mark of 110 and despite that is the beneficiary of a 3lb sex allowance from the colts. It is easy to put a line through her last effort when 21 lengths behind Alpha Centauri in the Falmouth down in sixth, so as the sole course winner in the lineup looks value for a return to winning ways.

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Unexposed Regal Reality the danger

Regal Reality looks unexposed compared to the rest of the field, so that makes him the main danger on just his second crack at 1m. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute – the most successful handler in this race in modern times with five wins – this son of Intello out of a Medicean mare has had just two career starts coming into the contest.

After finding plenty for pressure and being ridden out for a half-length victory on debut at Yarmouth on his sole outing as a juvenile, Regal Reality reappeared in the Listed Heron Stakes at Sandown back in May. Although sixth of nine to subsequent St James’s Palace Stakes winner Without Parole, he was only beaten four lengths.

He made some progress over a furlong out after being asked by jockey Ryan Moore, but made no headway in the closing stages. It was still a decent run for Regal Reality stepping up to a mile for the first time and he remains open to any amount of improvement.

Both the sire and damsire of this Cheveley Park Stud owned colt got the trip, so there is every reason on breeding to believe Regal Reality will too. Frankie Dettori, who is back from a recent riding ban, takes over in the saddle; so, with further progress looking assured he is the one to be wary of under a jockey that has won the race five times before.

Ostillo the each-way angle

Group debutant Ostillo has never finished outside the first two in six career starts and landed the ultra-competitive Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out, so is one worth considering each-way – especially if market principal Regal Reality fails to fire.

Trained by Simon Crisford, this son of New Approach came good at the fifth time of asking in a mile handicap at Newmarket in May. Prior to that, Ostillo had chased Without Parole home when a six-length second at Yarmouth, so coming out and also winning gave the back form of that exciting miler a solid look.

Ostillo then took a step up in class to land the spoils at Royal Ascot when making plenty of the running after taking it up five out. As soon as he was clearly in front, Silvestre De Sousa gradually brought him up to the stands’ side rail and drove him out to score by 1 1/4 lengths.

This was a gutsy display and what was most taking about it was Ostillo always looked to be doing enough. He is a progressive type and there is definitely more to come so, with Andrea Atzeni back in the saddle after partnering him to four previous career appearances, there is some each-way value in backing Ostillo to make the frame here.

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