1000 Guineas Betting Tips – Millisle appeals most at Newmarket
Newmarket Betting Tips · Sunday, 07th Jun 2020 - 15:35
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 04th Jun 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Harrington filly has Classic claims
Millisle was hugely consistent last season, so looks worth a punt to land the 1000 Guineas for three-year-old fillies at Newmarket on Sunday (15:35).
Trained in Ireland by Jessica Harrington, this daughter of Starspangledbanner has run on really well over shorter trips as a juvenile.
Millisle improved throughout the campaign which culminated in Group 1 glory in the Cheveley Park Stales here on the Rowley Mile.
Prior to that, she landed a Listed race at The Curragh and finished a gallant runner-up in a Group 2 at Salisbury. She went down by just a short-head in the latter.
Despite her speedy pedigree, Harrington is confident that Millisle will see out a mile. The way she shaped in her 5f and 6f runs last term also suggest that going further is no problem.
She ran on really well inside the final furlong when beating the re-opposing Raffle Prize by 1 3/4 lengths. Provided she has strengthened up over the winter, this should be within Millisle’s compass.
Connections clearly mean business in the 1000 Guineas as last year’s champion Flat jockey Oisin Murphy now takes the ride.
Millisle thus appeals most for the second British Classic of the campaign in what promises to be a fascinating renewal.
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Concerns about Quadrilateral and Raffle Prize
Roger Charlton’s unbeaten Quadrilateral heads the 1000 Guineas betting with bookmakers after winning the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile over course and distance.
Owned by Prince Khalid Abdullah, this beautifully bred daughter of Frankel landed two minor events at Newbury before that.
Quadrilateral was impressive in the second of those, scoring by nine lengths. She left it late but got up in her only outing on the Rowley Mile, staying on well under pressure and hitting the front close home.
Although she only won by a head from Powerful Breeze, Quadrilateral beat a previous Group 1 victor in the re-opposing Love in third.
Her Classic claims are obvious on the back of the Fillies’ Mile. The only concern about Quadrilateral is the stable form.
Charlton’s yard hasn’t had a winner since racing in Britain resumed at the time of writing. The 1000 Guineas favourite is thus opposed.
Raffle Prize, meanwhile, sees regular jockey Frankie Dettori desert her. A dual Group 2 victor for trainer Mark Johnston last term, those big race successes came at Royal Ascot and the July Festival here.
After landing a Chester maiden by five lengths, this Slade Power filly just held American raider Kimari by a head in the Queen Mary Stakes. She then completed the hat-trick in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes when making most.
Johnston sent Raffle Prize over to France on the back of that. She was held just a neck by the useful Earthlight in the Group 1 Prix Morny on heavy ground.
While there isn’t much to find with Millisle on the Cheveley Park form, Dettori ditching Raffle Prize is a concern. Mickael Barzalona picks up the ride, though.
Love a danger in 1000 Guineas
Aidan O’Brien had three fillies engaged up until final declarations. Only the aforementioned Love comes to Newmarket, so should be respected.
This daughter of Galileo won three of her seven starts last season. Love progressed to land the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes on Irish Champions Weekend at The Curragh.
She stayed on well in the closing stages, defeating subsequent Group 2 scorer Daahyeh by three-quarters of a length.
All of Love’s win have come on good ground. The fact that O’Brien only sends her out from Ballydoyle and across the Irish Sea looks significant.
Ryan Moore hasn’t had to make a choice between mounts, so Love could improve for her previous experience of the Rowley Mile.
She only has 1 3/4 lengths to find with Quadrilateral, yet traded at twice the price of the favourite during the week.
Shimmering & Les Hogues each-way possibles in 1000 Guineas
Of those at bigger odds, Shimmering is the filly Dettori now rides. Trained by John Gosden for Lord and Lady Lloyd-Webber, this daughter of Lope De Vega comfortably won her second career start.
Shimmering hasn’t raced on turf yet, but was a going on at the finish third at Kempton over 7f before landing a mile contest at Lingfield.
The way in which she put that second race to bed suggests there is plenty more to come from her. The 1000 Guineas is a huge step up on all-weather action, but Shimmering fits into the could be anything category.
Another interesting each way contender at bigger odds is George Baker’s French recruit Les Hogues.
The form of her gaining neck second to Dream And Do in a Group 3 received a boost when the winner took the French 1000 Guineas at Deauville on Monday.
Les Hogues also ran in-behind Earthlight last season when trained by Jean-Claude Rouget. The Bated Breath filly got some black type as a juvenile too with victory in a Listed contest.
If running up to the pick of her form, Les Hogues could sneak a minor place if the one or other of the market principals don’t fire.
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