French 1000 Guineas Betting Tips – Tropbeau taken for Classic glory
Deauville Betting Tips · Monday, 01st Jun 2020 - 15:25
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Friday, 29th May 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Fabre filly fancied to follow-up at Deauville
Andre Fabre has won the French 1000 Guineas for fillies three times before, and Tropbeau is his leading contender this time round. The mile Classic takes place at Deauville this Monday (15:25).
Owned by Lady Bamford, Tropbeau has always shaped like this trip would suit her. She has also won two Group races here over 7f including the Prix du Calvados.
That course form should be respected. Tropbeau then dropped back in trip for the Cheveley Park Stud Stakes at Newmarket and ran an unlucky third to Millisle.
She got hampered at a key stage, but still ran on and was only beaten just over two lengths. All the ability she showed as a juvenile meant big things were expected of Tropbeau.
On reappearance in the Group 3 Prix de la Grotte, she proved she stayed a mile with a half-length victory over the re-opposing Dream And Do.
Tropbeau only needed riding out by Mickael Barzalona to ensure victory. While the runner-up and third home, Tickle Me Green, don’t have much to find, they haven’t achieved her level of form.
Fabre’s yard wasn’t firing at the time either, so that made Tropbeau winning all the more impressive.With her stable back among the winners, there’s nothing not to like about her profile for the French 1000 Guineas.
Tropbeau looks a worthy favourite with bookmakers for Classic success, so now must deliver on that.
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Undefeated Simeen heads dangers
Jean-Claude Rouget has trained three of the last six French 1000 Guineas winners, so the unexposed Simeen looks dangerous. Owned by the Aga Khan, she landed minor events at Saint-Cloud and Chantilly.
A Classic demands plenty more than those runs, but Simeen may have the perfect pedigree for this. She is by Lope De Vega out of an Oasis Dream mare.
What she has beaten en route to the French 1000 Guineas can be questioned, but undefeated horses attract betting interest from punters.
Simeen is second-favourite for this behind Tropbeau, so expect a big run from her for those powerful connections.
The aforementioned Dream And Do was just half-a-length down on Tropbeau last time out. She also rates a danger with French champion jockey Maxime Guyon again aboard.
Trainer Frederic Rossi has been in good form leading up to the French 1000 Guineas. Dream And Do has never finished outside of the first two in five previous career starts.
Another filly for whom this Classic could be tailor-made is Marieta. The daughter of Siyouni came second to Tropbeau in the Calvados here and filled the same spot behind Albigna in the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac.
While there are double figures odds about Marieta, she is each-way value for the French 1000 Guineas. This is despite the fact she comes to Deauville without a prep run.
Don’t discount Emoji from French 1000 Guineas frame
Although Emoji disappointed on her last start, that was over further than a mile. On her previous form, she is more than capable of outrunning her generous odds and into a place here.
After bolting up by 14 lengths at Baden-Baden, she left Germany to join Francis-Henri Graffard. Emoji scored by a couple of length on debut for her new handler and reappearance in a Listed contest at Saint-Cloud.
She still confirmed that form with Galova in the Group 3 Prix Vanteaux when beaten a couple of lengths by Magic Attitude.
As Emoji only weakened inside the final furlong, the slight drop back in trip here should suit. Bookmakers may be dismissing her too easily.
It would be no surprise to see her go well at a big price in the French 1000 Guineas. That has been her likely target since leaving Germany.
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