Goodwood Betting Tips – Subjectivist Worth Siding with in March Stakes
Goodwood Betting Tips · Saturday, 29th Aug 2020 - 15:00
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 27th Aug 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
March Stakes betting tips – Subjectivist can dominate staying test
In the Group 3 March Stakes at Goodwood on Saturday (15:00), Subjectivist looks to hold leading claims of providing trainer Mark Johnston with back-to-back successes in the 1m 6f contest.
The Middleham handler saddled Sir Ron Priestley to land the spoils 12 months ago. In Subjectivist, Johnston has a tough and consistent sort with a similar profile to his stablemate
After running really well on his first two starts this season when fifth of 17 to Hukum in the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot and runner-up at Haydock, this three-year-old got back on the scoresheet in a Listed contest at Hamilton.
Subjectivist made all to win unchallenged by 1 3/4 lengths from Tritonic. He put in a bold bid next time up under similar tactics when a 1 1/2 lengths third to Mogul in the Group 3 Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.
The son of Teofilo set a strong gallop and still held every chance inside the final furlong until weakening late on and losing second place close home.
Although Subjectivist was then not at his best last time out when seventh of eight to Pyledriver in the Group 2 Voltigeur over 1m 4f at York, the March Stakes is easier.
Like many from his stable, it would be no surprise to see him quickly bounce back. The step back up in trip also promises to suit and Subjectivist is versatile as regards ground.
Another plus is that he faces only three rivals and is the sole proven front-runner in the field. That gives Subjectivist every chance to dictate under Joe Fanning.
It will make him a tough nut to crack in a weak renewal of the March Stakes. At odds of 9/4 with bet365, Subjectivist looks the one to be on.
Cabaletta feared most in March Stakes
Given that she is top rated in the field and also now drops back in grade, Cabaletta looks the obvious danger to Subjectivist.
This Roger Varian trained three-year-old filly looked a smart prospect when winning her sole start as juvenile at Yarmouth when beating Frankly Darling by a length.
She has had four outings this season and came good in the third of those when coming with a steady run from well off the pace to score by half-a-length from Lady G in a Listed contest over 1m 4f at Newbury.
Cabaletta scored a shade cosily and backed that up with a solid 4 1/2 lengths second of three to Enbihaar in the Group 2 Lillie Langtry Stakes over this course and distance.
The daughter of Mastercraftsman was again dropped in at the rear in a bit to get her to settle, but still raced freely and couldn’t match the turn of foot showed by the winner, who has scored since, when push came to shove.
It could well be a similar scenario in the March Stakes as Cabaletta is a headstrong sort. This is highly likely to turn into a tactical affair.
So, despite being rated 2lb above Subjectivist, and receiving a 3lb sex allowance from that rival, Cabaletta looks worth taking on at odds of 5/4 with Betway.
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Having created a huge impression when scoring on debut, Pomelo is a strong fancy to take the step up into Group 3 company in her stride and follow-up in the 7f Prestige Stakes for juvenile fillies (13:50).
That success came in a six-runner novice contest at Newbury where the Ralph Beckket trained daughter of Dubawi was backed as if defeat was out of the question and never gave her supporters an anxious moment.
After racing a bit keenly in the early stages, Pomelo tracked the leader before tanking into contention travelling strongly two from home.
When Harry Bentley then asked her to put the race to bed inside the final furlong, Pomelo showed a smart turn of foot to stretch effortlessly clear and slam Dreams Unwind by five lengths.
Although the runner-up is nothing special and has been beaten in two subsequent starts, it was a visually stunning display and one which suggested Pomello was an exciting prospect who needed keeping firmly onside.
This obviously demands much more, but Pomelo is fully expected to prove up to the task and take this en route to even better things. She can be backed at 9/4 with Betfair to do just that.
Happy Romance a big player for team Hannon
The Richard Hannon trained Happy Romance comes into the race on the back of two taking successes and looks sure to make a bold bid to land the hat-trick.
In the first of those over 5f at Newbury, the daughter of Dandy Man took up the running at the furlong marker and drew a clear to easily beat Jojo Rabbit by just under three lengths in the 25-runner Weatherbys Super Sprint.
Happy Romance then followed up in another valuable 19-runner sales race over 6f at York when running on strongly to account for the well-regarded Devious Company by just over a length.
She hit the line hard, suggesting she was well worth a crack at the 7f trip of this for all that she is bred to be speedy.
Prior to those victories, Happy Romance had run very well when a 4 3/4 lengths fifth of 18 to Campanelle in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes over 5f at Royal Ascot.
As the winner has gone on to land the Group 1 Prix Mornay at Deauville in taking fashion, the form reads very well in relation to this.
Happy Romance should be more than capable of winning at this level and is clearly thriving. She thus rates the main danger to Pomelo and is a 11/4 shot with BetVictor to go in again.
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