Longchamp Betting Tips – Glass Slippers and One Master Can Retain Crowns
Longchamp Betting Tips · Sunday, 04th Oct 2020 - 16:55
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Friday, 02nd Oct 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Prix de la Foret betting tips – One Master fancied for hat-trick
There are two specialist Group 1 races on Arc day at Longchamp this Sunday and, in the 7f Prix de la Foret (16:55), One Master has leading claims of landing a third straight success in the race.
This William Haggas trained six-year-old mare is an ultra-tough and consistent sort has won six times and been placed on six occasions in 21 starts.
She notched her first Group 1 success when swooping late to get up close home and beat Inns Of Court by a short-head in the 2018 Prix de la Foret at Chantilly.
One Master then ran a blinder when a length third of 15 to Lord Glitters in the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes over 1m at Royal Ascot last year.
She went on to round off the campaign by retaining her crown in this and has looked as good as ever in her five starts this season.
Recent runs show she retains plenty of ability
In the third of those at Glorious Goodwood, One Master resumed winning ways when overcoming all sorts of trouble in-running to get up in the final stride and score by a short-head in the Group 3 Oaks Tree Stakes.
She then ran a bit below par when a 3 1/2 lengths runner-up to Safe Voyage at York, although the winner has since gone in again at Group 2 level.
One Master then went down by a diminishing short-head last time out to Wichita in the Group 2 Park Stakes at Doncaster.
The form of the latter looks strong, given that the winner has previously finished second to Kameko in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and a fine third to Palace Pier in the Group 1 St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot.
One Master now has her optimum conditions. She also gets the services of Pirre-Charles Boudot in the saddle who has steered her to victory in the last two Prix de la Foret renewals.
At the odds on offer, she looks value to reverse York form with Safe Voyage and complete a historic hat-trick on testing ground which she relishes. Side with One Master here.
Lope Y Fernandez has an each-way shout in Prix de la Foret
Away from those at the head of the market, Irish raider Lope Y Fernandez looks well worth considering each-way now stepped back up in trip.
Trained by Aidan O’Brien, this three-year-old colt shaped really well on seasonal reappearance when a 2 1/2 lengths third of 11 to Siskin in the Irish 2000 Guineas over a mile at The Curragh
After then flopping in the Commonwealth Cup over 6f at Royal Ascot, he then went down all guns blazing by just three-quarters of a length to Pinatubo in a Group 1 contest over the 7f trip of this at Deauville.
Lope Y Fenandez backed that up with a fine run in the Group 1 Prix Maurice De Gheest over an extended 6f at the same venue when a length third of 11 to Space Blues.
After racing towards the rear under Ryan Moore, the son of Lope De Vega stayed on strongly to be nearest at the finish.
He then ran a similar sort of race last time out in the Group 1 Sprint Cup over 6f at Haydock when getting outpaced a furlong from home before rallying strongly to finish a 4 1/2 length seventh of 13 to Dream Of Dreams.
Judged on those efforts, the step back up to 7f looks sure to suit Lope Y Fernandez. Having placed in a Classic, he has form in the book which commands him the utmost respect in this.
Another plus is that O’Brien is also in fine form at present. Lope Y Fernandez gets our each-way vote in a cracking renewal of the Prix de la Foret.
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Prix de l’Abbaye betting tips – Glass Slippers can win again
In the 5f Prix de l’Abbaye for sprinters (16:25), last year’s winner Glass Slippers has an easier task that she might with the absence of Battaash.
This Kevin Ryan trained four-year-old filly ended last season in fine style when rattling up a hat-trick of successes.
After narrowly landing a Listed contest at Deauville, Glass Slippers showed real battling qualities to follow-up over this course and distance when beating Shades Of Blue by a short-head in a Group 3.
She then enjoyed her finest hour in this contest when taking up the running after a furlong-and-a-half and drawing steadily clear to easily beat So Perfect by three lengths on very soft ground.
It was a totally dominant display. Glass Slippers has looked every bit as handy in three starts this season and traditionally comes good at this time of the year.
After finishing a decent 5 3/4 length fifth to Battaash in the Group 1 King’s Stand Stakes on return to action at Royal Ascot, she then got much closer to that rival when beaten just over two lengths into second by Charlie Hills’ star sprinter in the Group 2 King George Qatar Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.
Form of Curragh success reads well
Glass Slippers has since resumed winning ways in the Group 1 Flying Five at The Curragh when staying on strongly to get up close home and beat Keep Busy by half-a-length.
She now meets that re-opposing rival on 1lb better terms, so there is no reason why she should not confirm the form.
Glass Slippers also had Make A Challenge and Liberty Beach behind in fifth and seventh respectively, so has nothing to fear with that pair.
This also looks a far weaker renewal of the Prix de l’Abbaye than 12 months ago and she is the highest rated in the line-up.
So, taking all this into account, Glass Slippers looks a worthy market leader to make it three from three at this venue.
Keep Busy the each-way punt in Prix de l’Abbaye
Given that she wasn’t beaten far by Glass Slippers at The Curragh and revels in the mud, the aforementioned Keep Busy appeals as the each-way value in the race.
This John Quinn trained three-year-old daughter of 2000 Guineas winner Night Of Thunder had a terrific juvenile campaign when winning four times.
The last of those successes came in a Listed contest at Chantilly where he showed a game attitude to prevail by three-quarters of a length from Bavaria Baby on heavy ground.
Keep Busy has won just one of her eight starts this season, on soft ground at Hamilton, but has posted some solid efforts in defeat.
They include when a keeping on 3 1/2 lengths runner-up to Lazuli in a Listed contest at Sandown and and when chasing home Art Power in the Holyroodhouse Handicap at Royal Ascot and beaten a similar margin.
Keep Busy also ran well on her penultimate outing when third to Dakota Gold in a Listed contest at Beverley. She is once again partnered by Ryan Moore who was in the plate last time out at The Curragh.
Everything looks in place for a big run, and it can be argued that Keep Busy is overpriced, given that she is rated just 1lb below Glass Slippers.
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