Longchamp Betting Tips – Pista the Prix de Royallieu Punt on Day 1 of Arc Weekend

Longchamp Betting Tips · Saturday, 03rd Oct 2020 - 15:25

Prix de Royallieu betting tips – Pista appeals most

Pista has a progressive profile, so looks well worth a wager in the 1m 6f Group 1 Prix de Royallieu for fillies and mares on day 1 of Arc weekend at Longchamp this Saturday (15:25).

Trained in Ireland by Joseph O’Brien, this three-year-old daughter of American Pharoah has done nothing but improve. After only making her debut in June, Pista has won three of four subsequent starts when upped in class each time.

She showed the benefit of her bow at Leopardstown when running out an easy winner of a Galway Festival maiden on soft going. The way in which Pista was ridden clear in the final furlong for a 6 1/2 lengths success suggest she handles cut in the ground.

As she was sent off at 12/1 that day, the bookies did not expect any fireworks from her. Pista then took the step up into Listed company for the Vinnie Roe Stakes in her stride, again staying on strongly and touching off Sunchart close home.

It was again a big surprise with her starting price of 14/1. The third home, Dawn Patrol who beaten a further half-length, has come out and won a Group 3 since, so the form is good.

Pista then went up to Grade 2 level over an extended 1m 6f and landed the Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster. She was back against her own sex on Town Moor but, despite signs of greenness, ran out a 1 1/2 lengths winner.

That completed her hat-trick. A race like the Prix de Royallieu demands more, but Pista is on a serious upward curve. It could well continue here.

Ebayira and Paix interesting in Prix de Royallieu for home team

There is a strong domestic challenge in this with the Aga Khan’s Ebayira shortest of the French contingent. Trained by Alain de Royer-Dupre, this three-year-old Distorted Humour filly is two from two over 1m 4f.

After keeping on strongly and winning a Group 3 readily, Ebayira dropped back in trip for the Prix de Diane. The blanket finish in the Chantilly Classic was a concern and the form has taken some knocks.

However, Ebayira who was a keeping on sixth that day has since come out won a Group 2 at Deauville. She was always in control and holding Spirit Of Appin, who re-opposes in the Prix de Royallieu, by three-quarters of a length.

Ebayira could well stay further, and her handler has saddled a record eight winners of this race. On that basis, she is of interest at 7/1 with Coral.

Another from home team who could well at a bigger price is Paix. Trained by Francis-Henri Graffard, the three-year-old daughter of Muhaarar is three from six career starts.

After progressing steadily to land a Listed contest at Vichy, Paix was an eye-catching third behind Wonderful Tonight in the Group 3 Prix Minerve at Deauville.

That was over an extended 1m 4f on heavy going. Paix has since resumed winning ways when upped in trip for the Prix du Lutece at this venue last month.

She asserted in the final furlong for a comfortable victory. The fact that Paix stays further than the Prix de Royallieu trip is an obvious plus, given the forecast conditions.

At 20/1 with Betfair, she looks a bit of each-way value in an open renewal. Unlike old rival Wonderful Tonight, she comes into this off the back of a win.

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Prix du Cadran betting tips – Think Of Me solid each-way value

In the other Group 1 on this card, the 2m 4f Prix du Cadran (16:00), Call The Wind is all the rage to win France’s equivalent of the Gold Cup. However, Freddy Head’s star stayer was turned over in the race 12 months ago.

On that basis, he is no value at odds-on. Prix Gladiateur runner-up Think Of Me looks a solid each-way alternative.

Also trained by Graffard, this four-year-old daughter of So You Think has never been out of the first two in six career starts. She has won three of those and chased home Moonlight Spirit in last year’s Prix du Lutece.

After bolting up by four lengths at Fontainebleau on heavy ground, Think Of Me followed-up in a Listed event at Deauville. She then chased home popular veteran Called To The Bar last time out.

The Prix du Cadran demands more, but Think Of Me gets weight from the boys as a filly. Her profile looks more solid than those who re-oppose from the Gladiateur that finished in-behind.

Godolphin’s Sublimis is yet to win on turf, while German raider Windstoss is on a three-year losing streak. For that reason, Think Of Me could be the one who gives Call The Wind most to think about.

Prix Dollar betting tips – Side with Skalleti retaining crown

In the extended 1m 1f Prix Dollar (13:35), last year’s winner Skalleti has conditions in which he thrives. He is therefore well worth backing to repeat the dose.

Trained by Jerome Reynier, the five-year-old grey gelding has a fine record on softer surfaces. Skalleti came into this race 12 months ago bang in-form after five consecutive wins.

The way he kept on to beat Mountain Angel – a Royal Ascot winner since – by three-quarters of a length proved beyond all doubt he stayed further than a mile.

Skalleti ran well over that shorter trip on his first two starts this season, including when a two-length third to Prix du Moulin hero Persian King in a Group 2 at Saint-Cloud.

The son of Kendargent proved he was as good as ever when scalping Sottsass by a neck on bottomless ground in a Group 3 at Deauville.

As the runner-up was third in last year’s Arc and a dual Group 1 winner, it was a massive effort from Skalleti. Reynier has given him a similar break to 2019 before the Prix Dollar.

Skalleti should be primed for a bold bid to retain his crown here. The odds on offer reflect his chances if reproducing his best efforts in this.

Hurricane Dream looks a solid each-way alternative at 15/2 with Bet365, for all he needs delivering late.

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