Sagaro Stakes Betting Tips – Mildenberger pick of Johnston trio for staying feature
Newcastle Betting Tips · Saturday, 06th Jun 2020 - 14:40
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Wednesday, 03rd Jun 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Newcastle stages Group 3 Ascot Gold Cup trial
Mildenberger has wins on the all-weather and more to offer as a stayer, so looks worth a wager in the extended 2m Group 3 Sagaro Stakes at Newcastle on Saturday (14:40).
This is the official trial for the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot usually run in late April or early May. It attracts a field full of familiar faces and Mildenberger is one of three engaged for trainer Mark Johnston.
The five-year-old son of Teofilo ran really well at the Dante Festival in each of the last two years. In his first outing at York in the 2018 Group 2 Dante Stakes, Mildenberger chased home subsequent Group 1 winner Roaring Lion.
That was that for the campaign, however, but he shaped well enough in three starts last spring. After a pipe opener in handicap company, Mildenberger was ran third to stable companion Communique in the Jockey Club Stakes.
He filled the same spot behind champion stayer Stradivarius in the Group 2 Yorkshire Cup. As Mildenberger lost a shoe on that occasion, and the winner landed his next four starts, the form is solid.
Connections switched him to the all-weather and he’s taken to it well. Mildenberger is 10lb better off with the re-opposing Rainbow Dreamer from Kempton and won both of his subsequent starts over the trip.
The same owner, Sheikh Hamdan, and trainer won the Sagaro Stakes last season with Dee Ex Bee. With the yard among the winners and Franny Norton once again in the saddle, Mildenberger appeals most.
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Godolphin and retained trainer Charlie Appleby send last year’s Dubai World Cup runner-up Ispolini up to Gosforth Park. The five-year-old is unexposed over the trip and has a good record at 1m 6f.
After winning in handicap company at Meydan, Ispolini followed-up at the same venue with an impressive 10 1/2 lengths Group 3 victory. He was far from disgraced when chasing home stable companion Cross Counter.
Following that winter campaign in Dubai, he ran in the Yorkshire Cup and was a length behind Mildenberger in fourth. That isn’t much to find, but Ispolini now re-opposes off 3lb worse terms.
The Dubawi gelding won the German St Leger in this grade following a summer break. Although respected given connections, Mildenberger appeals more at the odds on offer.
It would be no surprise if Ispolini placed here, though. He does have all-weather experience and that is a plus, but the revised terms with Mildenberger make this tough.
Prince Of Arran an each-way bet in Sagaro Stakes
Another globetrotting stayer engaged here is Charlie Fellowes’ popular Prince Of Arran. Now a seven-year-old, the son of Shirocco finished placed in the last two renewals of the Melbourne Cup.
Prince Of Arran tried to give Cross Counter 5lb in that in 2018 and was only beaten three lengths. On a form line through the winner, there is little between him and Ispolini.
While Prince Of Arran doesn’t win many, he is 5lb better off with the re-opposing Withhold from the 2018 Northumberland Plate. There is less than three lengths to find with that one on this back form.
He still showed he retains plenty of ability when scoring by a head in a Group 3 handicap at Geelong in Australia. Prince Of Arran was then third past the post in the Melbourne Cup again last autumn, but promoted to second by the stewards.
Fellowes has been among the winners in the week too. Prince Of Arran ran a fine five-length third to Call The Wind in a valuable handicap at Riyadh in Saudi Arabia.
The French trained winner has come out and followed-up in a Group 3 at Deauville since. In a Sagaro Stakes renewal where a case can be made for a few, Prince Of Arran is solid each-way value on the pick of his form.
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