Stewards’ Cup Betting Tips – Nahaar gets vote for Glorious Goodwood feature
Goodwood Betting Tips · Saturday, 01st Aug 2020 - 15:35
Author:
Dave Metcalf
Publish Date:
Thursday, 30th Jul 2020
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Topic:
Horsebetting Tip
Experiences:
Our expert in-house tipster
Dave Metcalf has over 35 years of experience in the media industry having worked for regional and national newspapers. He is a life-long horse racing and football fan, and has done interviews on various radio and TV stations, including talkSPORT and Sky Sports, whilst working as a PR frontman for major betting firm Betfred.
Dave has written for At The Races, provided betting previews for the 2010 World Cup via a website he owned. It was the first time they had covered any football event. He also appeared weekly on Sing When You’re Winning – football and general sports betting show on MUTV to provide odds and tips alongside former Manchester United striker Lou Macari.
Progressive Haggas colt has perfect profile for Heritage Handicap
Having scored in terrific style last time out Nahaar looks a worthy favourite to make light of a rise in the weights and follow up in the 6f Stewards’ Cup at Glorious Goodwood on Saturday (15:35).
This lightly-raced four-year-old hails from the in-form yard of William Haggas and has a tremendous strike rate of 62 per cent having won five of his eight starts.
After shaping with promise when fourth on seasonal reappearance over 7f at Newmarket, Nahaar ran a cracker when dropped back to the 6f trip of this and finishing a 1 1/2 lengths third of 19 to Chiefofchiefs in the Silver Wokingham at Royal Ascot.
After racing keenly on the heels of the leaders, the son of Dark Angel looked the likely winner when being produced to take up the running inside the last, before being unable to find any extra in the final 100 yards and losing second place in the dying strides.
It was a terrific effort, given how freely he raced in the early stages of the race. Nahaar comes into the Stewards’ Cup having landed a gamble with real authority in a 10-runner contest at Newbury just over two weeks ago.
Nahaar settled far better in mid-division under Tom Marquand and cruised into contention two from home pulling double.
Pattern performer in the making
When asked to put the bed inside the final furlong, the colt showed a smart turn of foot to shoot clear and beat Watan by just over two lengths off a mark of 94.
Nahaar scored with tons more in hand than the winning margin suggests and scored in the style of a potential pattern performer in the making.
If that is to be the case then a 7ln rise may not be enough to stop the upwardly mobile and hugely exciting Nahhar going in again.
He has also won three times and been placed once in four starts over the trip, has his ideal underfoot conditions and is once again partnered by Marquand.
With the stable operating at a strike rate of 27 per cent in the last 14 days at the time of writing, there is simply nothing not to like about the profile of Nahaar in this.
He is thus a strong fancy at 9/2 with Betfred to land the spoils en route to better things.
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Louie De Palma capable of out-running odds
In a race where a case can be made for most of the 28 runners set to go to post, Louie De Palma looks capable of going well at big odds.
This Clive Cox trained eight-year-old was last successful at Ascot in May of last year when scoring by half-a-length off a mark of 89.
He backed that up with a cracking neck second off 93 and also ran very well on his next two starts to be placed off 96.
In the last of those he finished just over a length behind Swindler when third at Ascot and now meets that rival, who is a general 14/1 shot for the Stewards’ Cup, on 19lb better terms.
Louie De Palma has had just two starts this season and ran very well on return to action when a 2 1/4 lengths fourth to Chiefofchiefs in the Silver Wokingham at Royal Ascot off 95 when doing all his best work at the finish.
He was giving 2lb that day to Nahaar, who finished just under a length in front of him in second, and now receives 8lb from the favourite.
That gives Louie De Palma every chance of turning the tables for all that he is not getting any younger. He is also able to race in this off 2lb lower (93).
That should enable the son of Pastoral Pursuits to be very competitive at a venue where he finished runner-up in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes as a juvenile.
In relation to Nahaar and Swindler, odds of 28/1 with BetVictor look a bit insulting as to his chances. So, with that firm paying five places, Louie De Palma looks well-worth considering each-way.
Stone Of Destiny another with an each-way shout in Stewards’ Cup
Stone Of Destiny lurks on a dangerous mark and, as a result, is another that appeals each-way.
This five-year-old won twice as a juvenile when in the care of David Simcock and ran a cracker on his second start in 2018 after joining Andrew Balding when fourth in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot.
Stone Of Destiny also ran well in the Wokingham Stakes at that meeting last year when keeping on from off the pace to be beaten only 5 3/4 lengths when 13th of 26 to Cape Byron off 102.
He backed that up with a similar effort in this contest from a poor draw when a five-length eighth of 27 to Khaadem off 100, before showing a game attitude to bag a deserved success at Ascot off 97.
Stone Of Destiny is able to race in this off a reduced rating of 95, so that makes him a key player from a handicapping perspective.
There was also lots to like about his seasonal bow when a 2 1/2 lengths fourth to Makanha at Newmarket. He backed that up with an excellent 2 1/4 lengths sixth of 22 to Hey Jonesy in the Wokingham over 6f at Royal Ascot.
Although he could finish only an 8 1/4 lengths 13th of 18 to Jawwal at Ascot last month when heavily supported, he lost all chance when rearing badly as the stalls opened and was subsequently not given a hard time.
It’s easy to put a line through that and Stone Of Destiny is better, judged on his previous efforts. Hence at 25/1 with William Hill who pay five places, Stone of Destiny had to feature as another potential each-way punt here.
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