Supreme Stakes Betting Tips – Happy Power Can Have Last Laugh at Goodwood

Balding mud-lover has plenty going for him

The Group 3 Supreme Stakes, a 7f contest for three-year-olds and upwards, takes centre stage at Goodwood on Sunday (15:35).

With underfoot conditions holding no fears, Happy Power looks to hold leading claims of landing the spoils. This Andrew Balding trained four-year-old progressed throughout last season.

After bolting up by five lengths in a handicap at Haydock on soft ground, the son of Dark Angel went on to score by 1 1/4 lengths in a Listed contest at York two starts later.

Happy Power also ran a cracker in the Group 1 Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood when a 1 3/4 lengths fourth of eight to Too Darn Hot.

The King Power Racing owned colt comes into the Supreme Stakes having performed with great credit in all four of his starts this season. In the first of those at Haydock, Happy Power finished a half-length third of 10 to Space Blues.

He had the re-opposing Snazzy Jazzy and D’Bai in behind in fourth and sixth respectively. The form also looks strong as the winner has won three times since.

Happy Power backed that up with a good second in Group 3 at Newmarket. There was lots to like about the way in which he got the job done last time out at Salisbury when landing a conditions contest by 2 1/4 lengths.

That success will have done his confidence the world of good. Happy Power has a fine strike rate of 37.5 per cent over the 7f trip of this and proven winning form on testing ground.

So, taking everything into account, Happy Power has lots going for him and looks the one to be on at 3/1 with bet365.

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Escobar looks too big a price

The aforementioned D’Bai is vying for favouritism with Happy Power, but all his best form has come on quick going. For that reason he is readily opposed.

A bigger danger could well be Escobar who failed to shine last time out in a Group 2 at York but had previously ran a cracker over this course and distance.

That came in the Group 2 Lennox Stakes where the son of Famous Name finished a staying on 2 1/2 lengths third to Space Blues after not getting the clearest of passages.

He had subsequent Group 2 winner Safe Voyage behind him in fourth and also finished just over a length in front of the sixth home D’Bai, yet can be backed at three times the odds of that rival. That doesn’t make sense.

The form of Escobar’s last win on heavy ground in the Balmoral Handicap on British Champions Day at Ascot last October, where he beat Lord North by just over two lengths, also looks strong.

That’s because the runner-up, from whom he received just 2lb, has gone on to land the Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot and ran very well last time out at York when third to Ghaiyyath in the Juddmonte International.

Judged on those efforts, Escobar looks a fascinating contender in the Supreme Stakes and it’s a case of the softer the ground the better for him.

Therefore, at the odds on offer, he looks overpriced at 9/1 with William Hill and could well be the value in the race.

Toro Strike a lively outsider in Supreme Stakes

Having scored in fine style last time out, the progressive Toro Strike looks capable of outrunning his odds.

Trained by Richard Fahey, this three-year-old son of Toronado has some fairly useful form to his name as a juvenile when winning one of his five starts and making the frame on three other occasions.

He was a big eye-catcher on seasonal reappearance on soft ground at Royal Ascot when a keeping on fifth of 22 to Khaloosy in the Britannia Stakes.

Toro Strike then landed a massive gamble last time out over this course and distance when turning a competitive 17-runner class 3 affair into a procession.

After being held-up in the early stages, he made stealthy headway a furlong from home before taking up the running inside the last and showing a smart turn of foot to shoot clear and beat Magical Wish by just over two lengths.

He scored with tons in hand and the runner-up has since come out and landed a class 2 handicap at Doncaster to give the form a boost.

The Supreme Stakes obviously demands much more but Toro Strike is clearly going the right way and deserves a crack at his level, judged on the manner of his success at the Glorious meeting here.

He also appeals as the type that has more to offer, so makes the most appeal from an each-way betting perspective at odds of 12/1 with Betfair.