40/1 winner of the Flying Childers at Doncaster? Ubettabelieveit!

Ubettabelieveit sprang a 40/1 shock when getting the better of red-hot favourite Sacred to land the Group 2 Flying Childers Stakes on the third day of the Doncaster St Leger Festival.

The Nigel Tinkler trained juvenile has previously been beaten 30 lengths when last of nine to Minzaal in the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes over 6f at York.

However, he was eased that day suggesting something may have been amiss. Ubettabelieveit appreciated the drop back down to 5f over which he had won his two starts prior to that.

From what looked a poor draw in stall one beforehand, young jockey Rowan Scott made the decision to tuck him in and track the pace on the heels of the leaders.

He then produced Ubettabelieveit to take up the running inside the last, at which point the William Haggas trained Sacred got into overdrive on the stands’ side rails.

The heavily-backed 11/10 favourite looked sure to collect under a power-packed ride from Tom Marquand but, when he did get upsides Ubettabelievit, that one found plenty and stuck his head down at the right time to get the verdict by a short-head.

There appeared to be no excuses for the runner-up. Johnny Murtagh trained Measure Of Magic kept on nicely to finish just over a length behind in an eye-catching third.

Ubettabelieveit gave Scott, who has recently ridden out his claim, the biggest success of his career and a first in Group company.

The son of Kodiac was also providing Tinkler with his first success in the grade since Sugarfoot landed Group 3 Leicester Stakes some 20 years ago.

Analysis: Ubettabelieveit win shows what racing is all about

David Metcalf, Horsebetting.com Head Tipster

Ubettabelieveit was given an initial quote of 33/1 by Betfair for next year’s Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot.

He is a really likeable sort who has now won three of his five starts. Ubettabelieveit is clearly all about speed, so it is likely that connections will keep him to the minimum trip for the rest of the season.

It was really nice to see a northern outfit win the big juvenile race and it looked like a decent renewal beforehand, so it would be wrong to knock the performance of the winner just because he was seemingly unfancied.

There are definitely more races to be won with Ubettabelieveit. The same goes for Sacred, who could have done with more cover during the contest having raced away from the main group.

Haggas’ charge has a smart turn of foot, and judged by what I saw he needs to be held-up and delivered as late as possible with one burst of speed.

There are plenty of twos next to Sacred already. That shows consistently, but to date he has proven a costly juvenile to follow with the bookmakers getting another shock result here.

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